Reports
What is settled before election night, and what stays open afterward.
- In Germany, election night starts at midnight. The first polls close on 4 November 2026 at 0:00 CET.
- In Iowa, bets and the model see different favorites. Polymarket and Decision Desk HQ on the seven Senate races, as of 1 November 2026.
- Models have the Democrats ahead in the House. Forecast state from 27 to 31 October 2026 for the House and the Senate.