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Midterms 2026

Press in Luxembourg, Germany, Russia and China reports the projection of a House majority briefly and with differing sources

First reports abroad remain sober but name different authors of the projection; Japan's government spokesman did not want to comment on the election.

The company Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) has projected a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives since 3:09 CET. Media in several countries report this in the first hour afterwards. What they share is the tone: short, factual reports without comment. Differences show in the question of who made the projection. It is a projection, not an official final result.

Luxembourg: a reference to the AP. The live ticker of L'essentiel (entry 3:57 CET, “L'essentiel and agencies”) names DDHQ as the source. As the only one of the media found, it explicitly adds: “The news agency AP has not yet called the change of power.”

Germany: CNN as the source. The agency dts writes in a report at regionalheute.de (4:11 CET) that the projection came from the broadcaster CNN, and that DDHQ had already been certain before. In the Senate, too, things look like a Democratic majority. The report does not name a projection for the Senate. The Handelsblatt speaks in its headline of a “first forecast”; the text could not be retrieved.

Russia: state media name DDHQ. The state agency TASS (3:17 CET) reports the DDHQ projection without comment. It gives an interim count of at least 127 seats for the Democrats and 83 for the Republicans, with 218 needed for a majority. The Democrats had won four previously Republican seats.

China: state media cite “US media”. The state agency Xinhua writes in a report at The Paper (3:19 CET) that US media expect the Democrats to win back the chamber after four years in the minority. As its source it names the newspaper The Hill, not DDHQ or the AP. The state agency China News Service (21jingji, 3:43 CET) adds that the outcome in the Senate is more open, and names Michigan, Texas, Ohio and Alaska as close races. It cites an NBC News survey of US voters: 52 percent for the Democrats, 44 percent for the Republicans, 38 percent approval for Trump. Neither report contains an assessment.

Japan: no comment from the government. Government spokesman Minoru Kihara said at his press conference, according to the Chinese financial news service Jin10 (report 3:10 CET), that he would not comment on the congressional election. No further statements by governments on the results had been found by about 4:40 CET.

Assessments of consequences for trade, Ukraine or NATO had not been found in reports after the projection by then. These are the media's accounts. The election-day forecasts are under House of Representatives, the state of the night under election night.

All reports