In Canada, 70 percent want a Congress with a Democratic majority in both chambers

A large majority in Canada wants a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate after the congressional election. That is the finding of a survey by the Toronto-based institute Liaison Strategies. 1,000 Canadians were surveyed from 18 to 31 October 2026, by automated telephone calls to landlines and mobile phones. The results are weighted according to the 2021 census, and the margin of error is plus/minus 3.1 percentage points. Liaison published them on 2 November at 11:00 CET (Liaison Strategies).

Wish for Congress. 70 percent want the Democrats to control both chambers. 10 percent want this for the Republicans, 11 percent want divided control. Among voters of the Conservative Party of Canada, the figures are 44, 23 and 21 percent.

Best for Canada. 65 percent consider a Democratic majority in both chambers the best for Canada, 8 percent a Republican one. Among Conservative voters, it is 41 to 22 percent.

Expectations. 48 percent expect relations between Canada and the US to stay about the same after the election. 23 percent expect an improvement, 18 percent a deterioration, 11 percent are unsure. 66 percent believe a Democratic majority in at least one chamber would limit Trump's agenda a lot or somewhat, 22 percent say a lot.

Trump and attention. 13 percent of respondents approve of Trump's performance in office, 81 percent disapprove. 60 percent are following the election very or somewhat closely, 82 percent among those over 65 and 38 percent among 18- to 34-year-olds. "Canadians have a clear preference for who controls Congress," says David Valentin of Liaison Strategies.

The survey measures wishes and expectations in Canada, not the outcome of the election. For the dispute between Ottawa and Washington over allegations of interference and for the trade talks, see Reports. The forecasts for both chambers are on the Senate and House of Representatives pages.